FOREST·OP
DOC · 07 RESEARCH · EVIDENCE ENGINE · CCE
CLAIMS 1,847 V-GRADE 412 DOSSIERS 23 QUEUE 14 PENDING

EVERY CLAIM
HAS A RECEIPT.

FORESTOP RESEARCH · CCE EVIDENCE ENGINE · CLAIM LEDGER · DOSSIER R→V PROMOTION
A research stack that treats civic, ecological, and policy claims the way courts treat evidence: graded, sourced, falsifiable, and refusable. If we can't show our work, the claim doesn't ship.
EVIDENCE GRADES5 tiers · V/R/A/P/N
CLAIM LEDGER1,847 rows
RELATIONSHIP EDGES624
SOURCE DOCS3,418
DOSSIERS · ACTIVE23
01

CCE · EVIDENCE GRADES

FIVE TIERS · ONE RUBRIC · NEVER NEGOTIABLE
V
VERIFIED
SHIP-READY · CITABLE
Two independent primary sources. Every number tied to a docket, filing, or peer-reviewed study. The claim survives an adversarial read.
412 claims22.3%
R
RESEARCHED
DRAFT · INTERNAL-ONLY
One primary source plus corroboration. Plausible and well-defended but missing a second leg or a falsification path. Cannot leave the building.
683 claims37.0%
A
ASSERTED
SECONDARY ONLY
A reporter, agent, or interviewee said it. Worth tracking; not yet checked. A→R requires opening the source it came from.
518 claims28.0%
P
PROPOSED
HYPOTHESIS
An agent or analyst's structured guess. Must include what would disprove it before promotion is even attempted.
196 claims10.6%
N
NULL · TESTED
NEGATIVE FINDING
We looked and the link isn't there. Equally valuable as a positive finding. Documented so we don't redo the search in six months.
38 claims2.1%
SPR
·PFALSIFICATION TEST
A claim only earns V-grade once all four cells are filled. SPR-P is the gate.
S
SOURCE
Primary citations · docket #, accession #, DOI, or shapefile hash. Two independent legs minimum for V.
P
PATHWAY
The mechanism · how does X cause Y? Which statute? Which physical process? Vague pathways block promotion.
R
REFUTATION
"What would disprove this?" — the claim ships with its own kill condition. No falsification path, no V-grade.
P
POWER
Who has authority to act on it? Without a named decision-maker, the finding has no consequence.
02

CLAIM · LEDGER

knowledge.claim_ledger · 1,847 ROWS · APPEND-ONLY · IMMUTABLE PAST V
ID GRADE CLAIM CAUSAL SPR-P DOSSIER STATE
#1515 V KY PSC approved Rate EHLF for prospective data-center loads on 2026-02-16 in Cases 2025-00113/00114, with 50 MVA + 85% LF + 15-yr min term + anti-circumvention.EVIDENCE · 2 PRIMARY · PSC FINAL ORDER · WITNESS HORNUNG CROSS-EX DIRECT0.94 SPRP KY-ENERGY-UTIL APPROVED
#1516 V PSC Final Order 2026-02-16 approved residential rate increases (KU +$8.73/mo +6.54%; LG&E elec +$5.14/mo +4.73%; LG&E gas +$8.27/mo +11.09%); ROE raised 9.425→9.9%.EVIDENCE · PSC ORDER · 2 INDEPENDENT TESTIMONIES DIRECT0.97 SPRP KY-ENERGY-UTIL APPROVED
#1517 V $5.43B aggregate KY new-gen capex 2024-31 driven by data-center load forecast (Mill Creek 5/6 + Brown 12 + Cooper 2 + EKPC retrofits). PSC denied Mill Creek 6 cost-recovery 2025-10-28.EVIDENCE · CPCN FILINGS · PSC ORDER 2025-00045 DIRECT0.91 SPRP KY-ENERGY-UTIL APPROVED
#1519 N As of 2026-05-02, no public record cross-references LFUCG TIF/IRB/KEDFA package to any LG&E/KU sub-tariff special contract. Negative finding documented to prevent search re-do.NEGATIVE FINDING · 6-AGENT FAN-OUT · NULL CONFIRMED NULL— SPRP KY-ENERGY-UTIL N-FILED
#1622 R Approved residential rate increase causally attributable to data-center cost-shift. Awaiting Rate-EHLF-specific cost-of-service study, deferred to next general rate case (unscheduled).NEEDS · 2nd INDEPENDENT LEG · COS STUDY CONTRIBUTORY0.62 SPRP KY-ENERGY-UTIL DIG-DEEPER
#1788 A Western Hospitality "Project Lincoln" Oldham County KY hyperscale ($6B / 267 acres) withdrawn 2025-07-03 before NPDES filing — reason: ratepayer-cost protest signals. SECONDARY · LOCAL PRESS · NEEDS PRIMARY REPORTED0.48 SPRP DATACENTER-INTEL PROPOSED
#1801 P VA SCC GS-5 rate class (PUR-2025-00058, eff. 2027-01-01) is more structurally protective than KY Rate EHLF — comparator hypothesis pending side-by-side tariff analysis.HYPOTHESIS · NEEDS COMPARATOR DOC PROPOSED— SPRP DATACENTER-INTEL QUEUED
03

DOSSIER · PIPELINE

RAW SOURCE · INGEST · PROPOSE · APPROVE · PUBLISH
01
STEP · 01

DROP

Manus & field operators drop raw documents into source_documents/. Never to the DB. PDFs, HTMLs, CSVs, hearing transcripts, FOIA returns.

  • Owner · Manus · agents
  • Storage · raw blob + EXIF
  • Hash · SHA-256 on arrival
  • Retention · permanent
02
STEP · 02

INGEST

Claude Code runs forestop-paper-ingest on each new doc. OCR, claim extraction, entity linking, citation parsing. Output: A-grade candidate claims.

  • Owner · Claude Code
  • Tool · paper-ingest
  • OCR · Tesseract + LLM clean-up
  • Output · A-grade rows
03
STEP · 03

PROPOSE

Agent fills SPR-P on each candidate via POST /api/approval-queue/propose. Must include source IDs, pathway, refutation, power. No SPR-P, no submission.

  • Endpoint · /propose
  • Required · SPR-P complete
  • Output · queue row · P-grade
  • Routes to · Cardell
04
STEP · 04

APPROVE

Human review only. Cardell writes approved_causal_strength + approval_note. Agent recommendation is advisory. Human always has the gate.

  • Owner · Cardell · only
  • Promotion · agent → human
  • Causal · DIRECT/CONTRIB/PROP
  • Audit · immutable past V
05
STEP · 05

PUBLISH

V-grade row persists to knowledge.claim_ledger + relationship_edges. Public dossier rendered with full citation chain at forestop.community.

  • Tables · claim_ledger
  • + relationship_edges
  • Public · fo_report_shares
  • Token · UUID · revocable
04

ESCALATION · CHAIN

DATACENTER → RATEPAYER · 2026-04-30 · LIVE EXAMPLE
DOSSIER · KY-ENERGY-UTILITIES

Datacenter → Ratepayer chain · 4 edges · 1 null

ORG · DEVELOPER PowerHouse DC + Poe Companies camp ground rd · Louisville KY POLICY · KY HB 775 (2025 RS) data-center sales-tax exempt $25M / $100M / $450M tier REGULATOR KY PSC 3-commissioner panel KRS 278.020 · 278.030 CONCEPT · TARIFF Rate EHLF 50 MVA · 85% LF · 15-yr approved 2026-02-16 · escape route open UTILITY · IOU LG&E / KU PPL Corp subsidiary 771K + 573K KY customers EVENT · DOCKET Case 2025-00045 $5.43B CPCN · denied recovery final order 2025-10-28 CLASS · IMPACT Residential · KY +$8.73 /mo · KU avg +6.54% · effective 2026-02-16 COMPARATOR · VA VA SCC GS-5 25 MW · 85% T&D · 60% gen PUR-2025-00058 · eff 2027-01-01 E1 · benefited_from N no documented link · 2026-05-02 E2 · approved V E3 · filed_capex_in V E4 · shifted_cost V CROSS-STATE
E1
NEGATIVE
PowerHouse → HB 775 — looked, not there
E2
VERIFIED
PSC → Rate EHLF · two primary sources
E3
VERIFIED
LG&E/KU $5.43B capex · CPCN docket
E4
VERIFIED
Order → residential class +$8.73/mo
05

APPROVAL · QUEUE

HUMAN-ONLY GATE · NO AGENT WRITES PAST P
R0.62
Approved residential rate increase causally attributable to data-center cost-shift via Rate EHLF.
CLAIM #1622 · DOSSIER KY-ENERGY-UTIL · PROPOSED BY CLAUDE-CODE · 2026-05-04 13:00
APPROVE V DIG DEEPER REJECT
P—
VA SCC GS-5 rate class is more structurally protective than KY Rate EHLF. Comparator hypothesis pending side-by-side tariff analysis.
CLAIM #1801 · DOSSIER DATACENTER-INTEL · PROPOSED BY MANUS · 2026-05-04 11:42
APPROVE V DIG DEEPER REJECT
P—
Project Lincoln (Oldham County, $6B/267 acres) withdrawn 2025-07-03 in part due to ratepayer-cost intervenor pressure during pre-NPDES community review.
CLAIM #1788 · DOSSIER DATACENTER-INTEL · PROPOSED BY CLAUDE-CODE · 2026-05-04 09:30
APPROVE V DIG DEEPER REJECT
R0.71
UK 2025-10-01 ED OCR resolution agreement (Title VI) creates compliance pathway with implications for 23 USC §177 disadvantaged-community grants.
CLAIM #1834 · DOSSIER UK-OCR · PROPOSED BY CLAUDE-CODE · 2026-05-03 17:08
APPROVE V DIG DEEPER REJECT
P—
Apollo program 2024-$ valuation has 65% spread (CPI-U $187B vs NNSI $309B); choice of deflator materially affects cross-program comparators.
CLAIM #1850 · DOSSIER HISTORICAL-CAPEX · PROPOSED BY CODEX · 2026-05-03 14:22
APPROVE V DIG DEEPER REJECT
CLAIM #1622 · DETAIL
CURRENT GRADE
R · 0.62

Source

PSC Order 2026-02-16 · Cases 2025-00113/00114 Joint Intervenor Brief · Witnesses Kollen + Fine

Pathway

New gen capex justified to PSC by data-center load forecast (CPCN 2025-00045) → ROE raised 9.425→9.9% → residential rate case (00113/00114) absorbs revenue requirement.

Refutation

Disprove if Rate-EHLF-specific cost-of-service study shows full direct-assignment to data-center class with zero residual to residential.

Power

KY PSC · next general rate case · OR Joint Intervenor petition for cost-allocation docket within 6 months.

Why R · not V

Two primary sources confirm rate increase + capex docket. Missing the second-leg COS study showing the dollar-for-dollar trace. SPR-P "P" cell incomplete until cost-allocation docket opens.

Recommended next step

File data request via Joint Intervenors for Rate-EHLF-only cost-of-service decomposition. Block V-promotion until study returned.
06

DOSSIERS · ACTIVE

23 RUNNING · ROLL-UP BY DOMAIN
DOS · 001 · KY-ENERGY-UTIL

KY · ENERGY · UTILITIES

● LIVE · IN REHEARING
Datacenter-driven utility capex, Rate EHLF, residential cost-shift, Joint Intervenor record. The flagship dossier.
47V
62R
38A
11P
7N
SOURCES · 284EDGES · 41
DOS · 002 · DATACENTER-INTEL

DATACENTER · INTEL

● LIVE · ACTIVE FAN-OUT
Hyperscaler capex (FY24 = $211.9B aggregate), state-level tariffs, withdrawal events, NAICS 518210 footprint. Cross-state comparator.
31V
54R
42A
19P
5N
SOURCES · 312EDGES · 56
DOS · 003 · HIST-CAPEX

HISTORICAL · CAPEX

▣ PUBLISH-READY
Apollo, Manhattan, Interstate Highway System cross-program comparators. Deflator methodology (CPI-U vs NNSI vs GDP-share).
28V
19R
11A
3P
2N
SOURCES · 118EDGES · 22
DOS · 004 · INTERSTATE-DISP

INTERSTATE · DISPLACEMENT

● LIVE · METHODOLOGY LOCK
Rondo, Overtown, Cross-Bronx, Indiana Ave. Reconnecting Communities Pilot ($3.3B / 132 projects). The historical baseline for AI-era buildout.
24V
28R
21A
7P
3N
SOURCES · 164EDGES · 34
DOS · 005 · UK-OCR

UK · OCR · TITLE VI

◐ DRAFT
University of Kentucky 2025-10-01 ED OCR resolution agreement, Title VI compliance pathway, §504 Rehab Act overlap.
14V
21R
17A
9P
2N
SOURCES · 87EDGES · 16
DOS · 006 · KY-ENV-ACCT

KY · ENV · ACCOUNTABILITY

● LIVE · 39,660 FACILITIES
EPA ECHO KY subset, KPDES delegations under CWA §1342, NPDES enforcement events. Only 1 true commercial KY DC in NAICS 518210.
38V
44R
29A
8P
11N
SOURCES · 206EDGES · 29
07

SCHEMA · knowledge.*

PG · POSTGIS · APPEND-ONLY · SHA-256 ANCHORED
knowledge.entity id uuid · pk entity_type text · check canonical_name text description text metadata_json jsonb geom geometry unique(entity_type, canonical_name) 17 entity_type values · 50+ rows knowledge.claim_ledger id bigserial · pk claim_text text grade char · V/R/A/P/N causal_strength numeric sprp_state jsonb · {S,P,R,P} source_ids[] uuid · fk → source dossier_id uuid · fk → dossier approved_by text · human only created_at timestamptz append-only · 1,847 rows · sha-anchor knowledge.relationship_edges id uuid · pk source_entity uuid · fk relationship_type text target_entity uuid · fk policy_id text amount numeric confidence_level char · V/R/A/P/N 624 rows · escalation_edge · jsonb metadata knowledge.impact_metrics id uuid · pk edge_id fk metric text value numeric unit text 12 rows seeded · grows w/ dossiers knowledge.source id uuid · pk source_type text · primary/sec title text sha256 bytea · anchor accession text · docket # 3,418 rows · raw blob in object store knowledge.approval_queue id uuid · pk proposed_claim_id fk recommended_grade char approved_grade char · null=pend approved_by text · human 14 pending · agent recs advisory only knowledge.tag_taxonomy id uuid · pk tag text parent_tag fk · self scope text + entity_tag, source_tag join tables 186 tags · hierarchical knowledge.fo_report_shares token uuid · pk dossier_id fk scope text · public/embargo expires_at timestamptz revocable · used by .community
08

PROVENANCE · CARD

HOW EACH CLAIM RENDERS · LIGHT FOR PUBLIC · DARK FOR INTERNAL
V
VERIFIED
CLAIM · 1515 · KY-ENERGY-UTILITIES · DOS-001
CLAIM #1515

PSC approves Rate EHLF for data-center loads

Kentucky Public Service Commission approved Rate EHLF on 2026-02-16 in Cases 2025-00113/00114, with thresholds of 50 MVA, 85% load factor, 15-year minimum term, and anti-circumvention language — but a Special-Contract escape route remains open per Witness Hornung's 2025-11-06 cross-examination.

Source · primary
KY PSC Final Order · Cases 2025-00113/00114 · 2026-02-16 psc.ky.gov · case 2025-00113 · final-order.pdf · sha256:b4a7e2…
Source · primary
Witness Hornung cross-examination transcript · 2025-11-06 psc.ky.gov · case 2025-00113 · transcript-day3.pdf · sha256:91d40a…
Pathway
KRS 278.020 + 278.030 grant PSC tariff-approval authority over investor-owned utilities. Joint Intervenor stipulation 2025-12-18 → Order 2026-02-16.
Refutation · what would disprove
A subsequent PSC order rescinding Rate EHLF, OR a special contract approved at sub-tariff rates that bypasses the 50 MVA / 85% LF gates.
Power · who can act
KY PSC (rate amendment), KRS-Joint Intervenors (rehearing), KY General Assembly (statutory override).
R
RESEARCHED
CLAIM · 1622 · KY-ENERGY-UTILITIES · DOS-001 · INTERNAL
CLAIM #1622

Residential rate hike traces to data-center cost-shift

Approved residential rate increase (KU +$8.73/mo, +6.54%) is causally attributable to data-center cost-shift via Rate EHLF cost-of-service allocations — pending the next general rate case for the dollar-for-dollar trace.

Source · primary
PSC Order · Cases 2025-00113/00114 · 2026-02-16 psc.ky.gov · final-order.pdf · sha256:b4a7e2…
Source · corroboration
Joint Intervenor witnesses Kollen + Fine · cost-allocation testimony psc.ky.gov · 2025-00113 · ji-brief.pdf · sha256:6f2891…
What's missing for V
Rate-EHLF-specific cost-of-service study · deferred to next general rate case (currently unscheduled). The "P · power" cell of SPR-P is incomplete pending a named decision-maker for cost-allocation docket.
Status
DIG-DEEPER · file data request via Joint Intervenors for Rate-EHLF-only COS decomposition. Block V-promotion until study returned. Owner: Claude Code + Cardell review.
09

RESEARCH · STUDIO

app.forestop.community · the surface where evidence is built
DOSSIER CLAIMS EDGES SOURCES QUEUE · 14
DOS-001 · KY-ENERGY-UTIL · LIVE
CLAIMS · 165
#1515 PSC approved Rate EHLFV
#1516 Resi rate +$8.73/moV
#1517 $5.43B capex docketV
#1519 No HB 775 → DC linkN
#1622 Causal trace · COSR
#1788 Lincoln withdrawalA
#1801 GS-5 vs EHLF compareP
#1834 ED OCR Title VIR
FILTER · GRADE
V · 47R · 62A · 38P · 11N · 7
DOS-001 / CLAIM #1515
PSC approves Rate EHLF for data-center loads
V · VERIFIED CAUSAL · DIRECT · 0.94 SPR-P · COMPLETE

Kentucky Public Service Commission approved Rate EHLF on 2026-02-16 in Cases 2025-00113/00114. Thresholds: 50 MVA · 85% load factor · 15-year minimum term · anti-circumvention language.

Caveat: Special-Contract escape route remains open per Witness Hornung 2025-11-06 cross-examination — meaning sub-tariff special contracts could bypass the rate class without triggering the gates.

"The Special Contract authority of the Commission is unaffected by the approval of Rate EHLF, and parties retain the ability to petition for terms not contemplated by the standard tariff."
— Witness Hornung, cross-examination, 2025-11-06

Pathway · KRS 278.020 grants PSC certificate-of-public-convenience-and-necessity authority over utility infrastructure. KRS 278.030(1) requires just-and-reasonable rates. Joint Intervenor stipulation 2025-12-18 settled the dollar levels; final order 2026-02-16 codified Rate EHLF.

Power · KY PSC (next docket); KRS Joint Intervenors (rehearing window 30 days); KY General Assembly (statutory override).

EVIDENCE · 4 SOURCES
PSC Final Order
Cases 2025-00113/00114
PRIMARY · 2026-02-16 · 142 pp
Hornung Cross-Examination
Day 3 hearing transcript
PRIMARY · 2025-11-06 · 87 pp
Joint Intervenor Brief
Witnesses Kollen + Fine
PRIMARY · 2025-12-18 · 56 pp
KRC supplementary memo
Stranded-asset analysis
SECONDARY · 2025-12-22 · 14 pp
RELATED EDGES · 3
E2 · approved_for_class
PSC → Datacenter class
E3 · filed_capex_in
LG&E/KU → Case 2025-00045
E4 · shifted_cost_to
Order → Residential class
10

AGENT · LANES

FIVE AGENTS · STAY IN YOUR LANE · NO AUTO-WRITES PAST PROPOSE

CLAUDE · CODE

ORCHESTRATOR · INGEST · PROPOSE
  • Run paper-ingest
  • Extract claims · A → P
  • Fill SPR-P
  • Schema migrations
  • DB writes (post-approval)
  • Spec + plan docs
CAN · WRITE LEDGER · POST-APPROVAL

MANUS

FAN-OUT · WEB · DROP
  • Wide research fan-outs
  • Firecrawl + Brave
  • Drop raw to source_documents/
  • Session handoffs
  • Notion writes · journal
  • Image gen for mocks
CANNOT · WRITE TO DB EVER

CURSOR

IDE · FILE EDITS
  • Tab autocomplete · Cmd+K
  • Multi-file Composer
  • Test runs in IDE
  • PR review canvas
  • Read-only DB explore
CANNOT · SCHEMA MIGRATIONS

CODEX

RED-TEAM · ALT-MODEL
  • Alternate Python impls
  • Edge-case probes
  • Falsification tests
  • Numeric audit (deflators)
  • Cross-check Claude's claims
CAN · PROPOSE · NEVER WRITE

NOTION

CROSS-AGENT LOG · REGISTRY
  • ForestOp Work Journal
  • Secrets registry · pointers
  • CHIMS Review pages
  • Cross-agent state
  • Cardell pivot point
PUBLISHED · WORK LOG · NO SECRETS
11

METHODOLOGY · RULES

SEVEN RULES · NON-NEGOTIABLE · PRINTED ABOVE CARDELL'S DESK
01
Every claim ships with a receipt. If you can't show two independent primary sources, the claim is not V-grade. Period.
SOURCINGSPR-P · S cell · 2 legs minimum
02
No claim earns V without its own kill condition. State what would disprove it, or it doesn't promote.
FALSIFIABILITYSPR-P · R cell
03
Negative findings are first-class citizens. "We looked, it isn't there" is documented as N-grade so we don't redo the search in six months.
NULLN-grade · #1519 archetype
04
Agents propose; humans approve. The promotion gate from R → V is human-only. Agent recommendation is advisory.
GATEapproved_by · NOT NULL · text
05
Manus drops raw, never writes to DB. Lane discipline is what makes the multi-agent stack legible.
LANESsee §10 · permission map
06
The past is immutable once V-graded. Corrections issue a new claim that supersedes; the original stays in the ledger with its supersession edge.
LEDGERappend-only · sha-anchor
07
A claim without a named decision-maker has no consequence. SPR-P's "P" cell forces us to answer: who, exactly, can act on this?
POWERSPR-P · P cell · authority
FORESTOP · RESEARCH · CCE EVIDENCE ENGINE · REV 2.4.1 OWNER · FOP-RESEARCH app.forestop.community github.com/forestop/cce-protocol