WED · 2026-05-06
BUILDER MODE · TIER A
CCE A− · 48 DOSSIERS
NEXT RUN 16:30 EDT
DBNF Sec. 7 trip pre-cleared. Wickliffe restart slips. SE-coalfield burn window opens Friday.
Three items move today: a stewardship contract on 2,300 ac of DBNF cleared the Atlas-IPaC Sec. 7 pre-screen; Verso/Pixelle restart timeline drifts to Q4-2026, lowering pulpwood-side stumpage support; KY-DAQ + ForestOp burn-day model agree Friday opens a 36-hr window across Bell / Harlan / Letcher with NE drift away from population.
BURN WINDOW · FRI 2026-05-08
Open 09:00–21:00 · RH 32–46% · W 6–11 mph NE · Tair 18–23°C · KBDI 218 · NFDRS Mod. 36 hrs eligible across E-Mtn hub.
NEXT TRAFFIC
14:30 KDF-Atlas sync · 16:00 KDFWR-CHIMS standup · 17:00 PSC docket scan
ALERT · L02 FIRE
SE-Coalfield burn window 2026-05-08
36 hrs · NE drift · 14 brigade slots · 2 burn bosses pending
ALERT · L01 WOOD
Wickliffe restart slips Q4-26
Pulpwood support −12% in 60-mi radius · 4 stewardship contracts touch
CLEARED · L03 T&E
DBNF Stewardship #14 Sec. 7 pre-screen
2,300 ac · No bat hibernacula · No mussel intersect · Atlas-IPaC OK
WATCH · L04 ENERGY
Bluegrass DC siting docket PSC-2025-00318
Hearing 2026-05-12 · 720MW · CHIMS Title-VI overlay attached
TOP ITEM · WOOD MARKETSL01·L05
Wickliffe coated-paper restart drifts to Q4-26.
CCE B Verso/Pixelle filing · CHIMS desk · 2026-05-06
Verso/Pixelle's restart timeline for the ~800 ktpy Wickliffe line slips two quarters from Q3-26 to Q4-26 in a 10-Q amendment. ForestOp CHIMS reads the slip as financing-driven (not engineering); pulpwood-side stumpage in a 60-mile radius softens 8–12%.
Four DBNF stewardship contracts have pulpwood components routed through Wickliffe; CHIMS will reissue rotation-harvest scoring tomorrow. The Q3 case is not gone — it is contingent on a $42M working-capital line that is still under term sheet.
Stave-grade WO premium holds at +38%.
CCE A KY Univ stumpage band · L01 · 2026-05-06
Quarterly band re-runs the structural finding: stave-grade WO premium over #1 sawlog holds at +38%, unchanged from Q4-2024 — the elasticity hasn't reset and the demand curve hasn't bent.
FIRE & RxL02·L03
Friday burn window opens E-Mtn hub.
CCE A ForestOp fire_ml · KY-DAQ · 2026-05-06
NFDRS-inspired criteria green Friday 09:00–21:00 across Bell, Harlan, Letcher, Pike. NE drift moves smoke away from Pikeville/Hazard population centers; KY-DAQ overnight forecast clears.
14 brigade slots across KDF + KPFC; 2 burn-boss certifications pending — Cardell Franklin Bonslater III (UK FNR) clears tonight.
KDF Rx-burn YTD 2,140 ac (67% of plan).
CCE A KDF dispatch · 2026-05-06
Through May 5, KDF has executed 2,140 ac against a YTD plan of 3,200; on pace for ~5,100 ac by Q4 vs the 12,000-ac 2026 plan — 58% short of plan, modestly better than 2024 trajectory.
WILDLIFE & LANDSCAPEL09·L10·L11
DBNF Stewardship #14 cleared Sec. 7.
CCE A Atlas-IPaC bridge · 2026-05-06 09:31
2,300-ac harvest unit on the Cumberland Plateau passed the auto-pre-screen: no Indiana / NLEB / gray bat hibernacula intersect, no Cumberlandian mussel critical-habitat intersect, no plant SOC. Outcome: informal consultation route, anticipated 14-day clearance.
KSNPC EO database ingest at 38,142 records.
CCE A CHIMS ingest queue · 2026-05-06
KSNPC element-occurrence database ingest cleared overnight at 38,142 records; sensitive-locality redaction applied for 1,418 cells. Searchable in Atlas as ksnpc_eo_v2 from 11:00 EDT.
iNat bias-cell tasking — 7 counties pushed.
CCE B+ Lane-4 surveillance · 2026-05-06
Robertson, Carlisle, Hickman, Ballard, Trimble, Owen, and Cumberland counties pushed to KDFWR field crew tasking with iNat citizen-science co-prompt. Target: lift density above 2 obs/km² baseline by EOY.
ENERGY & MARKETSWATCH
WO Stave $/MBF$1,820+0.8%
Walnut Veneer$3,420±0
Red Oak #1$662−1.2%
Pulpwood /ton$10.8−3.6%
HH Nat-gas$3.41+1.1%
KY peak load11.4 GW±0
AGENT LANESOPS
L01 Wood MarketsRUN · 0/2
L02 Fire & SmokeQUEUE · 1/3
L03 T&E + Sec.7RUN · 0/0
L04 GBIF/iNatPROMPT · 7
L05 Trade FlowRUN · 0/0
L06 DatacenterDOCKET · PSC-318
L07 Energy/BurdenRUN · 0/0
L09 KDFWRQUEUE · 2/2
L10 DBNFRUN · cleared
L11 GovernanceDRAFT · MOU v3
"Three things move today. The rest is signal you can read at the bottom of this page when you have a minute. Be in Bell County by Friday morning."
— ForestOp Command · Builder Mode · 09:47 EDT delivery
APPROVAL QUEUE · 09:47 EDT4 PENDING
DBNF Steward #14 · advance to formal Sec. 7 outreachP0 · 09:31
KDF burn window 2026-05-08 · authorize 14 brigade slotsP0 · 08:50
PSC-2025-00318 · file Title-VI overlay before 2026-05-12P1 · 08:12
KSNPC ingest v2 · publish public ledger after redactionP2 · 07:40
SIGNAL & NOISE · OVERNIGHT48 DOSSIERS
SIGNAL. Wickliffe slip is structural; stave-grade WO premium holds; Friday burn window is the deepest of May. NOISE. Two PSC dockets reposted without material change; one false-positive iNat record on a sensitive plant cell (cleared via KSNPC redaction).
WATCHLIST. KY airshed model (PM2.5) — pre-launch UAT; KRS 149.175 amendment language — circulating Frankfort; Loess Canyons RA delegation — visit 2026-05-21.
Run. dx_brief_20260506_0947 · 48 dossiers · 11 lanes · CCE A− · SPR-P 87. Provenance. Every claim above carries a CCE grade and links into ForestOp CHIMS. Cadence. Builder delivery 09:47 EDT; Dreamer drop 16:30 EDT. Distribution. KDF dispatch · KDFWR ops · DBNF supervisor · KPFC O&E · KY-DAQ · UK FNR. Sensitive-species localities redacted per KSNPC policy.